Welcome to The Full Time Whistle Co. FPL Analytics Report (part III).

We are back with our FPL analytics series, where we crunch the numbers and data to provide a report on the most valuable players you can select for your FPL teams in terms of price, points, and ownership.

Using metrics like Points per Cost vs Ownership, and Points per Game vs Ownership, we analyze the performances of players from gameweeks 14 to 23 to give a detailed report on how they have fared so far.

Points Per Cost vs Ownership

Using the above chart, we get a general reading on which players have gained more Points per Cost (PPC) based on ownership percentage.

Top Performers

Trippier from Newcastle has had a stellar season at St. James’ Park scoring 145 points in 22 games during which he’s kept a staggering 14 CS and gotten 5 A along with claiming the highest amount of BPS (31) in the FPL. This has enabled him to have a whopping PPC of 23.77, and as a result, have high ownership of 69.7%.  Having now gotten a price rise of £1.1m, it is mind-boggling to think that he was valued at just £5.0m at the start of the season.

Rashford, owned by 53.7%, closely follows suit at a PPC of 17.53. The rejuvenated Manchester United forward who is reborn under Ten Hag has 11 G and 4 A this season, scoring 128 points. His lower price of just £7.3m makes him great value for money.

And finally, in the higher ownership bracket comes Haaland at a PPC of 14.01. The Man City man has gotten 171 points at this stage of the season by virtue of his record-breaking season where he’s scored 25 goals after just 21 games.

Amongst goalkeepers, Raya is tremendous value for money with a PPV of 22.12. Having made the most saves in the league at 97, and also the highest BPS, Raya has the 2nd highest points tally for keepers this season.

Meanwhile, Solly March just makes it outside our differentials list with an ownership of close to 6%. However, he is still amazing bang for the buck, as the £5.1m in-form midfielder has scored 5G and got 6A for Brighton.

Differentials based on PPV

In the rightmost quadrant, we have players with the highest PPV, owned by 5% or under.

Goalkeepers

The keepers of the 2 mid-table London clubs – Fulham and Palace, have had great seasons. Bought in the summer, Leno has kept 6 CS in 21 games, with 2 in the last 2. He also has the 2nd highest number of saves (85). Additionally, of all the actively playing goalkeepers, he has the 3rd highest total of bonus points as well, giving him an overall PPV of 18.88 despite not starting in the first 2 games of the season.

Guaita meanwhile has kept 1 lesser CS than Leno in a season where Palace haven’t been at their best. But despite that, he’s made 72 saves for the Eagles giving him a PPV of 18.18.

Defenders

Tim Ream of Fulham tops the PPV charts for differential defenders, scoring 16.95 on the same metric. The American has kept 7 CS, scored 1 G, and collected 12 BPS in the process, and is one of many Fulham players on this list.

Wolves’ recent resurgence has seen them climb up the table and keep 2 CS in the last 4, thereby helping Max Kilman‘s PPV increase exponentially to 15.58. Henry of Brentford has the next highest PPV of 15.11. He has 7 CS this season, 2 of which have come in the last 3, along with 2 A as well. Tarkowski of Everton has only 5 CS, but his 15-pointer against Arsenal sees his PPV skyrocket to 14.52.

Midfielders

In the midfielders department, Mathias Jensen tops the charts with highest PPV with 16.45, ahead of the likes of Hojberg, Neves, Barnes, Eze, and Longstaff. With 3 G and 5 A, Jensen had a great start to the season. But now with 2 G and 2 A in his last 7 games, he’s back amongst the points, amassing 33 points since the restart.

Bailey of Villa has the next best PPV of 16.22 with 4 G and 3 A. While Harvey Barnes has the highest number of points at 90, his PPV takes a hit due to his slightly higher price of £6.7m.

Forwards

Only one forward features here – Brennan Johnson of Forest. The forward has 5 G and 3 A this season and has been in excellent form lately. But his relatively higher price of £5.7m sees his PPV only reach 12.98.

Points per Game vs Ownership

From the above chart, we get an idea of which players have gotten more Points per Game (PPG) based on their ownership percentage.

In the high ownership bracket, there is again no surprise that Haaland leads the charts in this metric, with a PPG of 9.

In-form Rashford follows after him with a PPG of 5.81. Meanwhile, Newcastle forward Almiron is having the season of his life. Having reached double digits in terms of goals with 10 G and also 2 A, the Paraguayan has a PPG of 5.63.

Mitrovic and Fulham are having a great return to the PL as well under Silva, as epitomized by the Serbian striker’s goal tally of 11 so far at a PPG of 4.57.

Another City player features here, with Mahrez accumulating a PPG of around 5.3. With 5 G and 6 A so far, he is having a very good season for the Citizens.

Differentials based on PPG

In the rightmost quadrant, we have players with the highest PPV, owned by 5% or under.

Goalkeepers

Leno features in the PPG charts for differentials as well, but is the only goalkeeper on the list. Along with his impressive PPV, he has a PPG of 4.3 which makes him one of the best options in goal at this price point and lesser ownership range.

Defenders

Like Leno above, Zouma is the only defender to feature here. The West Ham defender is currently out due to injury. An aerial threat in set pieces, Zouma has 1 G and 1 A this season along with 4 CS. Having played only 15 games this season, he has a PPG of 3.86.

Midfielders

Despite Leicester’s underwhelming season so far, Maddison has thoroughly impressed with his performances with 9G and 5A until gameweek 23, resulting in a PPG of 6, which is the best of the bunch. He just about makes it into the quadrant with an ownership of 4.1%.

Harvey Barnes features yet again, as he makes the list with a PPG of 4.5. The Leicester midfielder has scored 2 G and bagged 2 A in his last 3 games, signaling a return to form. This adds to his tally of 8 G and 2 A this season.

Surprisingly, Jadon Sancho comes next. The Man United winger has only played 12 games all season, but has a PPG of 4.08. He might have missed the majority of the season, but he is now back and even scored on his return against Leeds.

Meanwhile, the likes of Bowen, Sterling, Eriksen, and Grealish who have had great seasons in the past only have PPGs under 4 this time around. Even World Cup winner Mac Allister has a PPG of only 3.77, with him not reaching the same heights post the restart.

Forwards

Firmino has been out injured since GW 16, even before the World Cup began. However, when he was available, he was on fine form, having gotten 7 G and 3 A in 13 games until then at a PPG of 5.30.

Watkins of Villa has scored a goal each in his last 3 games, taking his tally to 6 G and 5 A for the season. However, he has played all but 1 game for the Villains so far this season, his PPG is only at 4.09.

Bournemouth have had a tough season back in the PL, with their striker Solanke having managed only 3G and 5A so far at a PPG of 3.76.

Conclusion

As indicated by the PPG and PPC metrics, Haaland once again tops the charts. By the time we write the next edition of this article, Haaland could have the record for the most PL goals in a single season. Another forward that features high on both charts is Rashford, who has led the line for 3rd placed Manchester United under Ten Hag with great aplomb.

Newcastle has been the wildcard of the season, sitting in 4th place. Trippier’s impressive PPC shows his impact in aiding their cause in keeping it tight in defense, which has been their bedrock.

However, there are a number of notable absentees with PL stalwarts Salah and Kane missing out. While the Liverpool man is having a poor season and isn’t helped by his high FPL price, Kane has had an excellent season with 17G and 5A. But he doesn’t feature on the list due to his high price which mathematically lessens his value.

Meanwhile, a number of Fulham players feature on the list, representative of Fulham’s fine form. Bernd Leno has an excellent PPV and PPG, while Tim Ream tops the PPV charts for a defender with ownership under 5%. Jensen and Bailey too have great PPV, with the former recently picking up form again.

Two Leicester midfielders in Maddison and Barnes seem to be under-owned, which makes them surprising differential assets that FPL managers could get into their teams with the Foxes building up some steam.

Amongst forwards in both the PPV and PPG charts, Watkins seems like the only reasonable pick. This indicates a clear lack of differential strikers available in the FPL at the moment.

However, there are quite a few players on this list that can accumulate a lot of points for your FPL teams, and you could use our data-driven approach to select players that will get you ahead.

Also read: FPL: TFTWC FPL Analytics Report (Part II) – GW 5 to GW 13